Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.002819 0.003024 0.003247 0.003507 0.003806 0.004142 0.004550
2024-10-06 0.002572 0.002860 0.003192 0.003612 0.004136 0.004786 0.005678
2024-10-13 0.002339 0.002664 0.003058 0.003581 0.004281 0.005224 0.006670
2024-10-20 0.002114 0.002446 0.002859 0.003430 0.004230 0.005379 0.007302
2024-10-27 0.001992 0.002340 0.002785 0.003422 0.004363 0.005806 0.008491
2024-11-03 0.001809 0.002138 0.002565 0.003187 0.004125 0.005612 0.008526
2024-11-10 0.001750 0.002093 0.002549 0.003233 0.004311 0.006136 0.010139
2024-11-17 0.001708 0.002066 0.002553 0.003307 0.004550 0.006807 0.012466
2024-11-24 0.001640 0.001999 0.002494 0.003277 0.004609 0.007155 0.014257
2024-12-01 0.001613 0.001986 0.002511 0.003364 0.004882 0.008014 0.018422
2024-12-08 0.001561 0.001934 0.002466 0.003347 0.004963 0.008479 0.021901
2024-12-15 0.001498 0.001864 0.002390 0.003271 0.004919 0.008637 0.024368
2024-12-22 0.001476 0.001854 0.002408 0.003363 0.005239 0.009890 0.036777
2024-12-29 0.001453 0.001842 0.002422 0.003453 0.005579 0.011428 0.064953
2025-01-05 0.001406 0.001791 0.002372 0.003422 0.005652 0.012201 0.102086
2025-01-12 0.001339 0.001709 0.002267 0.003281 0.005451 0.011943 0.114355
2025-01-19 0.001305 0.001673 0.002236 0.003274 0.005564 0.012921 0.260932
2025-01-26 0.001230 0.001574 0.002097 0.003055 0.005140 0.011630 0.159054
2025-02-02 0.001212 0.001560 0.002096 0.003097 0.005359 0.013067 1.026481
2025-02-09 0.001200 0.001555 0.002109 0.003166 0.005660 0.015175 NaN
2025-02-16 0.001171 0.001522 0.002073 0.003138 0.005704 0.016104 NaN
2025-02-23 0.001162 0.001521 0.002092 0.003219 0.006063 0.019322 NaN
2025-03-02 0.001138 0.001494 0.002064 0.003203 0.006145 0.020962 NaN